Technical Strategy - Mark L. Newton, CMT

Technical analysis tracks price movement, volume, seasonality, sentiment, and trading flows to identify and project price trends, targets, and exhaustion. Used to seek out attractive risk/reward opportunities and highlight up/down trends in equities, treasuries, currencies, commodities and cryptocurrencies, technical analysis is fundamentals-agnostic and uses the following methodologies.

About the Strategist

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Mark L. Newton, CMT – Head of Technical Strategy

As former managing member/owner of Newton Advisors LLC, Mark has more than 25 years of buy-side and sell-side experience in finance. Before Fundstrat, he worked with Diamondback Capital Management, and with Morgan Stanley in New York City as their technical strategist. Mark has traded equity options as a market maker/floor trader on the CBOE, and worked in risk management. He is a member of the Market Technicians Association, and former member of the CBOE, CBOT, and PHLX. Mark makes regular appearances on CNBC, FOX Business, and Bloomberg. Mark graduated with a BS in Finance from Virginia Tech in 1991, and obtained his Chartered Market Technician designation in 2002.

Our Approach

Trend Identification

On a daily, weekly, and monthly basis

Structural Analysis

Looking at former highs and lows as potentially important for resistance and/or support in trading over multiple time frames

Trendline Utilization

Drawing trendlines extending from the lowest lows to the low preceding the highest highs

Fibonacci Analysis

Using the concept of Fibonacci for retracements in both time and price terms for identifying possible areas of exhaustion

Momentum Analysis

Seeking stocks exhibiting positive momentum for long investments over multiple time frames

Volume Analysis

Noting heavy volume, or lack thereof, in conjunction with price gains to track the duration of a trend

Breadth

Studying the underlying health of a market, especially for broader indices

Ratio charts

Comparing a stock to its industry and/or to an underlying index, such as SPX

Relative Strength

Seeking out stocks exhibiting stellar strength and trading at/within striking distance of 52-week highs (for long stock selection)

Counter-Trend Analysis

Using Tom DeMark's indicators, such as TD Sequential and TD Combo, to identify strong trends possibly on the verge of reversing course: downside to upside or vice-versa

Cycles

Using cycle composites to understand the most commonly seen cycles dictating patterns of low-to-low or high-to-high to help identify highs and lows price-wise

Elliott Wave Theory

Elliott Wave projections can help forecast price targets, using previous highs/lows to identify whether a rally is new and impulsive or represents a counter-trend move

Astro-Analysis

Using cycles of the sun, moon, and the planets to pinpoint highs, lows, and trends for stocks and indices, both from a transiting to transiting standpoint, or transits to natal charts for analysis

Seasonality Studies

Seasonality studies to identify times of above-average strength and/or weakness based on historical trends

Sentiment Analysis

Using equity put/call ratios for indices or stocks and/or commonly used sentiment polls to track investor sentiment.

Research and Coverage

Reports

Daily Technical Strategy

Every day, we deliver precise strategies derived from technical analysis, guiding you on potential market moves and insights to position accordingly.

Biotechnology breaks out, while Semiconductor stocks near support

S&P and QQQ have now sold off for three straight days, while the Equal-weighted S&P 500 and DJIA have rallied for five straight days.   Thus, it remains an unusual market, but ultimately it has fared better than what the major averages reflect...

ALNY
IBB
RSP
SMH
XBI
XLV
Mark L. Newton, CMT - June 24, 2024

⚡️FlashInsights

In these rapid updates, our expert analysts provide insights on immediate market changes and technical patterns, ensuring you are always one step ahead in the fast-paced world of trading.

Mark L. Newton, CMT
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Most Financial media this morning aren't discussing the broad-based rally developing. Rather most are discussing the decline in Tech. Despite indices having kicked off the week rather "flat", it's important to see that market breadth is higher by nearly 3/1 as Financials,...

Jun 24
10:40 AM
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Today's action has a couple important implications. Initially, this decline hasn't proven too serious, price-wise, and also with regards to market breadth and technical structure. While there has been some minor rotation out of Technology, today's underperformers are largely concentrated in Utilities,...

Jun 21
3:47 PM

Weekly Roadmap

End your week with our "Weekly Roadmap", a summary that encapsulates our expert views and closing remarks for the week. This digest is crafted to bring all market happenings and our insights into one coherent context, ensuring you're well-informed and ready for the week ahead.

Stocks Continue Notching June Gains

“I just - I love my job. I love doing it. It's a passionate endeavor. And sometimes you can get close to something that you believe is the truth. The truth of something. Not all the time, but...

F
NVDA
QQQ
June 21, 2024

Media

Daily Technicals Video

Our webinars bring you face-to-face with our experts as they share the latest market trends and technical analysis, offering an opportunity to clarify your queries in real-time.

Biotechnology breaks out, while Semiconductor stocks near support

S&P and QQQ have now sold off for three straight days, while the Equal-weighted S&P 500 and DJIA have rallied for five straight days.   Thus, it remains an unusual market, but ultimately it has fared better than what the major averages reflect...

ALNY
IBB
RSP
SMH
XBI
XLV
Mark L. Newton, CMT - June 24, 2024

Annual Outlook

At the start of each year, our annual outlook provides a comprehensive analysis of existing and potential U.S. policies, forecasting their impact on financial markets and offering actionable strategies for the year ahead.

Archives

Appearances Media Archives

Our researchers frequently appear across various media outlets, sharing their technical analysis and market insights. Our extensive archive ensures you have access to these valuable resources at your fingertips.

Podcast: US Markets Wrap: Nvidia to rally further into its stock split

1 month ago

CNBC Media Archives

We understand the importance of media in shaping market perceptions. Our archive of CNBC appearances provides a rich resource of insights shared by our researchers on this prestigious platform.

Podcast: US Markets Wrap: Nvidia to rally further into its stock split

1 month ago

Sample Reports

Technical Writeups of Super Granny-shot picks

Summary: I continue to see the US stock market as being attractive, technically speaking, and do not feel sufficient risk is there to warrant a selloff at this time. While price action has been a bit more subdued...

ANET
CDNS
CRM
META
NVDA
March 21, 2024
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Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

February 2024 Technical Outlook

FOR FULL REPORT, PLEASE CLICK HERE. WHAT LESSONS WE LEARNED FROM JANUARY: * SPX, NASDAQ rally back to new all-time highs was certainly a bullish development despite some evidence of breadth waning.  Equal-weighted SPX, Russell 3k, nor Small...

February 5, 2024
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Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Latest Publications

Biotechnology breaks out, while Semiconductor stocks near support

S&P and QQQ have now sold off for three straight days, while the Equal-weighted S&P 500 and DJIA have rallied for five straight days.   Thus, it remains an unusual market, but ultimately it has fared better than what...

ALNY
IBB
RSP
SMH
XBI
XLV
June 24, 2024
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Selloff should be complete by early next week -  Here’s Why

S&P and QQQ both showed minor weakness late this week, yet failed to do much technical damage.  Both SPY and QQQ finished positive on the week, and while there was brief signs of rotation out of Technology, it...

RSP
XLI
XLK
June 21, 2024
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Short-term rotation possible out of Tech, but should prove temporary

S&P is growing closer to its Short-term upside technical target of 5521, while QQQ also is nearing resistance a bit higher than 483-5 mentioned last week.   Overall, there remains no evidence of weakness in SPX, nor QQQ, and...

NVDA
RSP
SPY
June 20, 2024
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Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Utilities is being raised to Neutral technically on recent weakness

S&P is growing closer to its short-term upside technical target of 5521, while QQQ also is nearing resistance a bit higher than 483-5 mentioned last week.   Overall, there remains no evidence of weakness in SPX, nor QQQ, and...

AEP
AMP
ATO
CEG
CNP
DFS
DUK
MCO
MTB
NEE
NRG
NTRS
PEG
RF
RSP
RSPU
SO
SRE
XLU
June 18, 2024
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Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

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